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Sunday, 30 March 2008

Alan Greenspan´s definition of price stability.

2% Inflation is 98% stable value or 98% Real Value Accounting.

However, it will still destroy 51% of the value of money and constant values not updated over 35 years.

With the size of our economies today, 2% is a gigantic number.

Low or moderate 2% annual inflation is regarded as "price stability" by many entities including the European Central Bank.

"The ECB’s Governing Council has announced a quantitative definition of price stability:
"Price stability is defined as a year-on-year increase in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the euro area of below 2%."
"The Governing Council has also clarified that, in the pursuit of price stability, it aims to maintain inflation rates below, but close to, 2% over the medium term."

Low or moderate continuous 2% annual inflation will destroy 51% of the real value of money and retained income as well as all other constant real value non-monetary items never updated over 35 years as any inflation calculator will demonstrate. Low or moderate 2% inflation being "price stability" is thus a very dubious definition.

Alan Greenspan´s definition of price stability is very accurate:

"Price stability obtains when economic agents no longer take account of the prospective change in the general price level in their economic decision-making."

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The annual destruction under low or moderate inflation of 2% of the real value of retained income of all companies with retained income world wide amounts to hundreds of billions of Euros (March 2008 value). That is a significant amount of unnecessary and easily avoidable real value destruction in the world economy each and every year.

2% inflation is a high degree of price stability. It is not actual price stability.

Price stability is a year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index of 0% as clearly indicated by Mr Greenspan´s definition.

0% cash inflation has never been achieved over a significant period of time.

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Real Value Accounting will result in 0% non-monetary inflation in the real (non-monetary) economy by simply ignoring accountants´ assumption that money is stable only for the purpose of valuing constant value items, eg. retained income.

Thursday, 27 March 2008

Accountants killing the real economy.

Tito Mboweni asked the following question: “Is there a danger that we are killing the real economy?”

Inflation always destroys real value in two ways: (1) Cash inflation destroys the real value of the Rand. (2) At the same time the combination of inflation and normal accounting destroys constant real value non-monetary items that are never updated, for example, retained income.

Accountants have good rules to value variable value items.

Unfortunately they assume that the destruction of the value of money has no effect on constant value items that are never updated (eg. retained income). They assume money is stable ONLY for this purpose. The above combination thus destroys the value of constant value items at the annual rate of inflation. This amounts to hundreds of billions of Euros in the world economy and probably hundreds of billions of Rand in the South African economy annually. It kills off quite a bit of the real economy each and every year as everyone in SA is experiencing at the moment - and all the more the higher inflation.

Hardly anyone in SA realises that SA accountants are responsible for killing the real economy.

This killing of the real economy will stop forever when accountants stop this assumption.

This will result in 0% inflation only in constant real value non-monetary items. There will still be cash inflation in SA. A person can avoid losing value under cash inflation by holding no cash; that is, rather buy things that keep their value with your money.

Companies as well as the SA government can order their accountants to stop this assumption immediately. Salaries, taxes and companies´ issued share capital values will be updated monthly. All other constant values too - including retained income.

This way of doing things is already possible, but, only under hyperinflation. The reason it does not currently work under hyperinflation is that the International Accounting Standard Board tells Zimbabwe to update non-monetary items annually (income statement items monthly as per PricewaterhouseCoopers) at the hyperinflation rate instead of telling them that they should update everything that is not money daily at the parallel rate or a daily index rate like Brazil did.

It is vital for SA to do this under low (2%) and high (9.8%) inflation on a monthly basis every time the Consumer Price Index changes (daily updating at a daily index or parallel rate under hyperinflation) to make it impossible for Chartered Accountants to kill the real economy - as they are doing at present.

References:
http://www.accountancysa.org.za/resources/ShowItemArticle.asp?ArticleId=1235&Issue=857

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_cost

© 2005-2010 by Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved

No reproduction without permission.

Monday, 24 March 2008

There are three different items in the economy

1. Money
2. Variable value items
3. Constant value items

The first economies only consisted of people and variable value items. Trade was by barter. Variable value items for variable value items.

Then money was invented.

Finally double entry accounting was introduced and constant value items came about.

Money´s value is being destroyed by cash inflation. Low inflation (2%) can reduce this destruction to a minimum. Monetary values more than 31 days old in low inflationary economies are all out of date/wrong.

Variable value items are adequately valued in markets and by International Accounting Standards/GAAPs. Variable values more than 31 days old in low inflationary economies are all out of date/wrong.

Constant value items are being destroyed by the combination of inflation and normal accounting. Ignoring/banning the assumption that money is stable will stop this destruction forever. Constant values more than 31 days old in low inflationary economies are all out of date/wrong.

All values and financial statements more than 31 days old in low inflationary economies are out of date/wrong.

All values in hyperinflationary economies are out of date/wrong at the next parallel rate. This can be from the one day to the next.

All constant value items never updated are destroyed at the inflation or parallel rate.

0% cash inflation which has never been achieved over any sustained period of time will make the real and monetary economy work at 0% inflation.

Stopping the assumption that money is stable which is Real Value Accounting and easy to implement will result in 0% inflation ONLY in CONSTANT real value non-monetary items.

References:

http://www.accountancysa.org.za/resources/ShowItemArticle.asp?ArticleId=1235&Issue=857

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_cost

Sunday, 23 March 2008

The historical cost accounting model destroys real value on a massive scale in the world economy.


Updated on 20 January 2012

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This a verbatim copy of the my article Financial Statements, Inflation & The Audit Report published in Accounting SA, the accounting journal of the South African Institute of Chartered Accountants in September 2007.

I do not use the provocative style I used in 2008 any more. But, I prefer to maintain the original article heading as this blog is a chronological history of the development of the Constant Item Purchasing Accounting model.

This Accounting SA article is the first publication in a peer reviewed accounting journal where the terms constant real value non-monetary item and variable real value non-monetary item appeared.

Obviously, there is no such thing as Historical Cost Inflation as I used the term in this article. Inflation has only one component: a monetary component. This is, however, all part of the historical developement of Constant Item Purchasing Power Accounting that started in 1995 in Angola´s hyperinflationary economy.

In 2008 I still believed, like most people today still believe, that inflation affects the real value of non-monetary items. Inflation has no effect on the real value of non-monetary items. The stable measuring unit assumption affects the real value of constant real value non-monetary items never maintained constant.

"In most countries, primary financial statements are prepared on the historical cost basis of accounting without regard either to changes in the general level of prices or to increases in specific prices of assets held, except to the extent that property, plant and equipment and investments may be revalued."¹

The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) only recognises two economic items:

1.) Monetary items defined as "money held and items to be received
or paid in money;" and

2.) Non-monetary items: All items that are not monetary items.

Non-monetary items include variable real value non-monetary items valued, for example, at fair value, market value, present value, net realisable value or recoverable value.
They also include Historical Cost items based on the stable measuring unit assumption.

One of the basic principles in accounting is "The Measuring Unit principle: The unit of measures in accounting shall be the base money unit of the most relevant currency.

This principle also assumes the unit of measure is stable; that is, changes in its general purchasing power are not considered sufficiently important to require adjustments to the basic financial statements."2

This makes these Historical Cost items equal to monetary items in the case of companies´ Retained Income balances and the issued share capital values of companies with no well located and well maintained land and/or buildings or other variable real value non-monetary items able to be revalued at least equal to the original real value of each contribution of issued share capital.

Retained Income is a constant real value non-monetary item valued at Historical Cost which makes it subject to the destruction of its real value by cash inflation - exactly the same as in cash.
It is an undeniable fact that South Africa's functional currency's internal real value is constantly being destroyed by cash inflation in the case of our low inflationary economy, but this is not considered important enough to adjust the real values of constant real value non-monetary items in the financial statements - the universal stable measuring unit assumption.

The combination of the Historical Cost Accounting model and low inflation is thus indirectly responsible for the destruction of the real value of Retained Income equal to the annual average value of Retained Income times the average annual rate of inflation. This value is easy to calculate in the case of each and very company in South Africa with Retained Income. It is also possible to calculate this value for all companies in the world economy with Retained Income.

It is broadly known that the destruction of the internal real value of the monetary unit of account is a very important matter and that inflation thus destroys the real value of all variable real value non-monetary items when they are not valued at fair value, market value, present value, net realisable value or recoverable value.

But, everybody suddenly agrees, in the same breath, that for the purpose of valuing Retained Income - a constant real value non-monetary item - the change in the real value of money is not regarded as important to update the value of Retained Income in the financial statements. Everybody suddenly then agrees to destroy hundreds of billions of Dollars in real value in all companies´ Retained Income balances all around the world.

Yes, inflation is very important!

All central banks and thousands of economists and commentators spend huge amounts of time on the matter. Thousands of books are available on the matter. Financial newspapers and economics journals dedicate thousands of columns to the fight against inflation.

But, when it comes to constant real value non-monetary items, it doesn't seem as if inflation is important. We happily destroy hundreds of billions of Dollars in Retained Income real value year in year out.

However, when you are operating in an economy with hyperinflation (perhaps only Zimbabwe at the moment with 3 713% inflation), then we all agree that you have to update everything in terms of International Accounting Standard IAS 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies. You have to update variable AND constant real value non-monetary items.

But, ONLY as long as your annual inflation rate has been 26% for three years in a row adding up to 100% - the rate required for the implementation of IAS 29.

Once you are not in hyperinflation anymore, for example, 15% annual inflation for as many years as you want, then you are not allowed to update constant real value non-monetary items any more. Then you must destroy their real value again - at 15% per annum. Or 7.0% per annum in the case South Africa (April 2007).

For example:

Shareholder value permanently destroyed by the implementation of the Historical Cost Accounting model in Exxon Mobil's Retained Income during 2005 exceeded $4.7bn for the first time. This compares to the $4.5bn shareholder real value permanently destroyed in 2004 in this manner. (Dec 2005 values).

The application by BP, the global energy and petrochemical company, of the stable measuring unit assumption in the accounting of their Retained Income resulted in the destruction of at least $1.3bn of shareholder value during 2005. (Dec 2005 values).

Royal Dutch Shell Plc, a global group of energy and petrochemical companies, permanently destroyed $2.974 billion of shareholder value during 2005 as a result of the application of the stable measuring unit assumption in the accounting of their Retained Income. (Dec 2005 values).

Should this value be reflected in the financial statements?

Maybe it should.

Footnotes

¹ International Accounting Standards Committee, (1995), International Accounting Standard 1995, London, IASC, Page 502

http://www.accountancysa.org.za/resources/ShowItemArticle.asp?ArticleId=1235&Issue=857
² Paul H. Walgenbach, Norman E. Dittrich and Ernest I. Hanson, (1973), Financial Accounting, New York: Harcourt Brace Javonovich, Inc. Page 429.

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Saturday, 22 March 2008

Implied authorisation by the IASB to revoke the stable measuring unit assumption in low inflationary economies.

Paragraph 40 of IAS 29 can be taken as revoking the stable measuring unit assumption in low inflationary economies as the word inflation is used instead of hyperinflation.

"Par 40 The disclosures required by this Standard are needed to make clear the basis of dealing with the effects of inflation in the financial statements."
Authorisation to revoke the stable measuring unit assumption in low inflationary economies can also be taken to be implied from the IASB´s Framework for the Preparation and Presentation of Financial Statements, Concepts of Capital Maintenance and the Determination of Profit:

Par 104. The concepts of capital in paragraph 102 give rise to the following concepts of capital maintenance:

(a) Financial capital maintenance.

Under this concept a profit is earned only if the financial (or money) amount of the net assets at the end of the period exceeds the financial (or money) amount of net assets at the beginning of the period, after excluding any distributions to, and contributions from, owners during the period. Financial capital maintenance can be measured in either nominal monetary units or units of constant purchasing power.

Units of constant purchasing power is generally taken as updating constant real value non-monetary items in terms of the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index in low inflationary economies and daily at a daily index rate (see Unidade Real de Valor: "The exchange rate of URVs to cruzeiros reais was recalculated and published daily by the government.") or the parallel exchange rate (in the absence of a daily index rate) in hyperinflationary economies (See Hyperinflation).

Historical Cost Accounting destroying hundreds of billions of Dollars of real value in the world economy year in year out.

The application of the historical cost principle by the accounting profession results in the destruction of "hundreds of billions of dollars in retained income real value year in year out" [5] - as well as in all other constant real value non-monetary items never or not fully updated throughout the world economy.

This can be stopped by the revoking of the stable measuring unit assumption. This has been authorised by the International Accounting Standards Board in International Accounting Standard IAS 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies.

"Par 8 The financial statements of an entity whose functional currency is the currency of a hyperinflationary economy, whether they are based on a historical cost approach or a current cost approach, shall be stated in terms of the measuring unit current at the balance sheet date.
Par 11 Balance sheet amounts not already expressed in terms of the measuring unit current at the balance sheet date are restated by applying a general price index.
Income statement
Par 26 This Standard requires that all items in the income statement are expressed in terms of the measuring unit current at the balance sheet date. Therefore all amounts need to be restated by applying the change in the general price index from the dates when the items of income and expenses were initially recorded in the financial statements."
Paragraph 40 can be taken as revoking the stable measuring unit assumption in low inflationary economies as the word inflation is used instead of hyperinflation.

"Par 40 The disclosures required by this Standard are needed to make clear the basis of dealing with the effects of inflation in the financial statements."

Neither US GAAP nor the IASB allows the updating of constant real value non-monetary items, for example retained income, in low inflationary economies thus contributing to the destruction of "hundreds of billions of Dollars in real value in all companies´ Retained Income balances all around the world" [6] as well as in all constant real value non-monetary items never or not fully updated.

From: Wikipedia: Historical Cost: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_cost

Friday, 21 March 2008

Historical Cost

In historical cost accounting, historical cost is the original monetary value of an economic item.

When an historical cost item, for example money or retained income, is never updated its real value is destroyed at the rate of inflation in low inflationary economies. Money cannot be updated. Retained income is currently not updated in low inflationary economies as a result of the application of the stable measuring unit assumption. Retained income is:

The accumulated net income retained for reinvestment in a business, rather than being paid out in dividends to stockholders.

One of the basic principles in accounting is:

“The Measuring Unit principle: The unit of measure in accounting shall be the base money unit of the most relevant currency. This principle also assumes the unit of measure is stable; that is, changes in its general purchasing power are not considered sufficiently important to require adjustments to the basic financial statements.” .

The combination of the historical cost accounting model and low inflation is thus indirectly responsible for the destruction of the real value of retained income equal to the annual average value of retained income times the average annual rate of inflation.

From Wikipedia: Historical Cost: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_cost

Thursday, 20 March 2008

What is the real value of money?

The real value of money within an economy or monetary union is determined by all the underlying value systems within that economy or monetary union.

The daily changes in the real value of money are determined by the daily changes in the rate of inflation or hyperinflation or deflation as indicated by the Daily CPI.

Daily indexing of all monetary items within the banking system in terms of the Daily CPI eliminates the EFFECT of inflation, hyperinflation or deflation within an economy or monetary union. It does nothing immediately to inflation, hyperinflation or deflation. 

Daily indexing of all constant real value non-monetary items in terms of the Daily CPI removes the EFFECT of the stable measuring unit assumption within an economy implementing the nominal Historical Cost paradigm during inflation, hyperinflation and deflation.

Variable real value non-monetary items´ real values are determined in terms of fair value - generally in free and open markets. Daily indexing of these values in terms of the Daily CPI between fair valuing them in the market keeps their real values up to date with daily changes in the general price level.

Updated on 29 May 2016

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Copyright (c) 2012 Nicolaas Smith

Wednesday, 19 March 2008

What is real value?

Real value is what you can sell things for right now. That means, someone is willing to buy them from you for a specific value payable immediately.

There are three basic things in the economy:

1. Things that have changing real values.

2. Money.

3. Things that have constant real values.

We express these values in money terms. Everything has a money value but that does not mean it is money because be buy and sell it in money terms and we use money to pay for things. Only money is money.

The real values of things you do not own are the market values of those things right now.

The above real values change all the time as the supply and demand for these things change.

The above relate to the real values of things that have changing real values.

There are two more basic things in the economy: money and things that have constant real values.

We will look at money´s real value in the next post.

Saturday, 15 March 2008

The difference between price increases and inflation.

Very few people understand the difference between inflation and a price increase. Inflation is an increase in the general price level. A price increase is the increase of any single price.

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Copyright (c) 2012 Nicolaas Smith

Thursday, 13 March 2008

Business confidence will increase if South Africa revokes the stable measuring unit assumption.

BusinessDay reports that business confidence is the lowest in seven years.

Business confidence in South Africa will increase considerably if accountants and the accounting faculties of SA universities get together to develop a plan to revoke the stable measuring unit assumption in the South African economy.

Businesses and workers will then know that as soon as the accountants in South Africa revoke the stable measuring unit assumption no more real value will be destroyed in the real value of constant real value non-monetary items never updated in the SA economy.

Salaries, capital, taxes, income and expenses will be updated monthly at the new Consumer Price Index value.

The South African non-monetary economy will operate at 0% inflation since all constant real value non-monetary items will be updated.

Cash inflation will still destroy the value of the Rand and all other monetary items.

Hold no cash and monetary items and you can avoid the destruction of real value in monetary items.

Revoking the stable measuring unit assumption will make the destruction of real value in the non-monetary economy impossible.

Business confidence will surge in SA when everyone knows that what is happening in Zimbabwe now will forever be impossible in South Africa as long as the stable measuring unit assumption is revoked.

© 2005-2010 by Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved

No reproduction without permission.

Tuesday, 11 March 2008

Poor Accounting

Unfortunately these black students are learning Historical Cost Accounting which includes the stable measuring unit assumption.

They will most probably never be taught that the combination of inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption annually destroys hundreds of billions of Rand of the real value of constant real value non-monetary items never updated in the South African economy. This include the real value of all Retained Income of all SA companies (listed and unlisted) which they will never be allowed to update as long as South Africa is not experiencing hyperinflation.

Most of them will most probably not even know anything about the stable measuring unit assumption as it is hardly ever mentioned in accounting lectures in South Africa. I wonder if the term even appears at all in any accounting textbook in South Africa.

This is very sad since it is exactly the combination of inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption as applied by Zimbabwean accountants that destroyed the Zimbabwean economy over the last 20 years of high and hyperinflation in that country.

I can foresee that the very same accountants may in the future help to destroy the SA economy when they apply the stable measuring unit assumption in the companies where they will be working or whose accounts they will be auditing. Just like it is now happening in Zimbabwe.

If they are taught that the combination of inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption is destroying hundreds of billions of Rands in the real value of all constant real value non-monetary items never updated (eg. retained income) in the SA economy annually and that by revoking it they can stop this destruction, they may have the guts to do that and to save the SA economy from the disaster that is currently happening in Zimbabwe.

© 2005-2010 by Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved

No reproduction without permission.

Monday, 10 March 2008

Inflation´s destruction of the SA non-monetary economy can be stopped by SA accountants.

It was once generally accepted that the world was flat.

It is now generally accepted that Robert Mugabe´s policies destroyed the Zimbabwean economy.

In time people will come to understand that it was the combination of inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption that destroyed the Zimbabwean economy.

That same combination is currently destroying 9.4% per annum of all monetary items in South Africa as well as 9.4% per annum of the real value of Retained Income in all South African companies.

At continuous 9.4% per annum inflation all the real value of all Retained Income that remain in SA companies for the next 8 years will be completely destroyed. Today´s Retained Income balances will be there in 8 years time but they will be worth nothing - all else being equal.

When SA revokes the stable measuring unit assumption, this destruction of constant real value non-monetary items currently NEVER updated can be stopped.

Any SA company can revoke the stable measuring unit assumption and stop this destruction.

The International Accounting Standard Board authorised the updating of non-monetary items in IAS 29 in 1989.

If SA companies/accountants do not revoke the stable measuring unit assumption and inflation keeps on rising, then the combination of high inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption will definitely destroy the SA economy - exactly as it did in Zimbabwe over the last 14 years of hyperinflation in that country.

Three years of continuous 26% inflation is hyperinflation as defined by the IASB.

At the moment this destruction is taking place at 9.4% per annum. That means that the real value of all constant real value non-monetary items today that are never updated (eg. retained income) will see 100% of their real value destroyed over the next 8 years. The accounting values will still be in the books, but they will have zero real value - like the accounting values in Zimbabwean company accounts not updated.

Friday, 29 February 2008

If South Africa were a hyperinflationary economy ...

If SA were a hyperinflationary economy with continuous 26% inflation for three years in a row (the International Accounting Standards Board’s definition of hyperinflation) SA companies would implement International Accounting Standard IAS 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies. Well behaving SA companies dutifully following useless (1) IASB requirements.

This would have no effect on hyperinflation in SA. IAS 29 is being applied in Zimbabwe since 2000 and is a complete and utter failure. The reason is that IAS 29 does not require DAILY updating of all non-monetary items as required under Real Value Accounting (2) but instead useless annual updating.

PricewaterhouseCoopers advocates equally useless monthly updating under hyperinflationary conditions.(3)

If SA were to copy Zimbabwe and were to follow the ineffectual IASB requirements and equally ineffectual PwC advice in this hypothetical hyperinflationary scenario, hyperinflation would destroy the SA economy in the same way it has been doing over the last 14 years of actual hyperinflation in Zimbabwe. SA companies would update commercial item prices daily (like in Zimbabwe ) but not salaries (like in Zimbabwe ) thus destroying the internal market very rapidly and destroying the whole economy equally rapidly.

If, on the other hand, SA, by chance, were to copy the very successful Brazilians in their 30 year (1964 to 1994) battle against hyperinflation and implement an Unidade Real de Valor (4) type of non-monetary index to update all non-monetary items (including salaries) DAILY under hyperinflation, the SA economy would keep on growing like in Brazil during hyperinflation.

Simply … because of DAILY updating of all non-monetary items under hyperinflation.

How singularly clever the Brazilians are.

If, in this hypothetical example, the South African Reserve Bank then were to manage to bring cash hyperinflation down to low levels again,

and if, by chance, all SA companies – which would have, by chance, come to understand the correctness of updating all non-monetary items DAILY (following the brilliant Brazilians) under hyperinflation -

then, by chance, stubbornly refuse to follow the very destructive and useless IASB requirement to go back to NOT updating all constant real value non-monetary items under LOW inflation, (the current state of affairs world wide)

SA would be the first country in the world to revoke the stable measuring unit assumption under LOW inflationary conditions.

This is something the accounting profession has been spectacularly unsuccessful in resolving for at least the last 100 years.

The stable measuring unit assumption is the silent, invisible destroyer of real value in all constant real value non-monetary items (eg. retained income) currently NEVER updated in all inflationary economies.

The IASB mandates you to update under hyperinflation, but then forbids you to update once you are back in low inflation thus supporting the destruction of hundreds of billions of US Dollars in real value in retained income world wide. Crazy and incomprehensible - but true.

One of the basic principles in accounting is “The Measuring Unit principle: The unit of measure in accounting shall be the base money unit of the most relevant currency.

This principle also assumes the unit of measure is stable; that is, changes in its general purchasing power are not considered sufficiently important to require adjustments to the basic financial statements.” (5)

If, on the other hand, we were to invert the above process and revoke the stable measuring unit assumption in SA in the very short term (not a snowball’s hope in hell),

it would be impossible in the very short term for the combination of low inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption ever more to destroy the real value of constant real value non-monetary items (eg. retained income) in SA.

This is happening at this very moment in all SA companies at the rate of 9.4% (Jan 2008 annual inflation rate) per annum equalling the destruction of hundreds of billions of Rands in retained income real value each and every year. Revoking the stable measuring unit assumption would maintain hundreds of billions of Rands of real value each and every year in the SA economy instead of annually destroying it.

It would also be impossible for hyperinflation ever to destroy the non-monetary economy in SA in the future - as long as we revoke the stable measuring unit assumption forever. We could still have Cash Hyperinflation (the one component of hyperinflation) but it would be impossible to have Historical Cost Accounting Hyperinflation - the second component of hyperinflation.

Simply … because of revoking ONE accounting assumption, namely, the stable measuring unit assumption.

How singularly clever we would be as a nation.

If …

Nicolaas Smith

realvalueaccounting@yahoo.com

(1) Useless in eliminating non-monetary inflation whereas daily updating of non-monetary items in a hyperinflationary economy does exactly that.

(2) Understanding IAS 29 PricewaterhouseCoopers.

(3) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unidade_real_de_valor

(4) Paul H. Walgenbach, Norman E. Dittrich and Ernest I. Hanson, (1973), Financial Accounting, New York : Harcourt Brace Javonovich, Inc. Page 429.

Saturday, 23 February 2008

Dual Destruction of Real Value in the Economy.

Inflation always and everywhere results in the destruction of real value in

(A) all monetary items over time (which cannot be updated) and

(B) constant real value non-monetary items (historical cost items, eg. retained income) when the latter are NEVER updated as a result of the stable measuring unit assumption which is a generally accepted accounting principle or GAAP.

Retained income has never been and is never updated in economies that are not hyperinflationary economies under the current Historical Cost paradigm. Retained income is only updatable since 1989 in hyperinflationary economies in terms of International Accounting Standards IAS 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies. IAS 29 does not require daily updating (as required under Real Value Accounting) and thus fails to have any effect in hyperinflationary economies.

A good example is the situation in Zimbabwe where IAS 29 is being applied without any effect on the state of the Zimbabwean economy. The International Accounting Standards Board´s IAS 29 is thus a complete and utter failure that serves no purpose at all and reduces the IASB´s credibility tremendously.

The IASB´s as well as the FASB´s credibility is even further diminished by the fact that they require the updating of all constant real value non-monetary items under hyperinflation but ban it under all other inflationary conditions thus supporting the annual destruction of hunderds of billions of US Dollars of real value in all companies´ retained income balances world wide in non-hyperinflationary economies.

Wednesday, 20 February 2008

Inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption are the two universal enemies.

Inflation IS the universal enemy as far as monetary items are concerned. Each one per cent rise in inflation instantaneously destroys more hunderds of billions of US Dollars in all monetary items throughout the whole economy. It is very difficult to arrive at zero per cent inflation. Two per cent inflation - defined incorrectly as "price stability" - destroys 51% of the real value of all monetary items over 35 years time.

The combination of inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption is the universal enemy as far as constant real value non-monetary items (historical cost items) NEVER updated (eg. retained income) are concerned. Each one per cent rise in inflation destroys even more hunderds of billions of US Dollars in the real value on constant real value non-monetary items NEVER updated each and every year on top of the hundreds of billions of US Dollars currently being destroyed each and every year by current inflation world wide.

Your contribution need not be deleted. The other side of the story need to be added.

You are only referring to one component of inflation, namely, cash inflation. What about the hunderds of billions of US Dollars destroyed each and every year in all companies´ retained income balances world wide in inflationary economies by the combination of inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption?

Revoke the stable measuring unit assumption (as mandated by the International Accounting Standards Board in IAS 29 in hyperinflationary economies) and you stop the second component of inflation forever. That is easy. It is simply an accounting procedure. Arriving at zero inflation is much more difficult to eliminate cash inflation.

Inflation and the stable measuring unit assumption are the two universal enemies

Sunday, 5 August 2007

Inflation Accounting

Inflation accounting describes an accounting model to be used during very high and hyperinflation. CIPPA is to be implemented at all levels of inflation and deflation.

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Tuesday, 24 July 2007

Quick Fix for Zimbabwe

Official Stabilization Plan


· Unify official and parallel exchange rates.

· Demonstrate commitment to greater fiscal responsibility.

· Scrap price controls

· Index unit to link non-monetary prices with official daily updates.

· Low new money supply growth.


Quik Fix


· Index unit (USD) to update non-monetary prices daily at the Old Mutual Implied Rate .



.

Tuesday, 17 July 2007

Ink and a roll of paper is not real value.

The generally accepted notion in Zimbabwe that it is acceptable that a person can use ink and a roll of paper to collect US Dollars should stop as soon as possible for the best of the Zim people.

Not one ZimDollar of real value is created because it is economically and physically impossible to create real value like that.

No real value is created at all because it is not possible to create real value like that.It is simply a method to use power to use imperfections in the Zim market, not to create value, because that is impossible, but, to collect US Dollars in the parallel market.

That is not due process or acceptable in any economy. It is destroying whatever little bit of real value still exists in the Zim economy; that total of real transaction demand that is somehow represented by the total of ZimDollar notes in circulation.

That real transaction demand is finite now in Zimbabwe. Hardly any new real value is being created.The real transaction demand in real terms is finite.

Adding billions more pieces of paper to that total to collect USDollars in the parallel market, creates no new real Zim value, but, because the actual real Zim value is a finite, definite value, that finite real value has now to be divided amongst so many more billions pieces of paper.

Summary:

It creates not one ZimDollar in real value, but, it destroys millions of US Dollars in real value in the real value of existing ZimDollars in the country.

This process can - if carried on often enough - get to a point where all the real value of the ZimDollar is destroyed.

I cannot explain that final process or why it is like that. I do not yet understand that final step when all ZimDollars become worthless, but, I know from the Yugoslavia case, that it is possible.

I think Zim should stop with this process.

Maybe it would be better to follow the Brazilians and stabilise the Zim economy by stabilizing non-monetary values with a Zim Unidade Real de Valor or real value index unit.

Saturday, 14 July 2007

Equilibrium for Zimbabwe.

Equilibrium for Zimbabwe will come about when Zimbabwe copies Brazil and implements a Zim non-monetary index unit or Zim Real Value Unit based on the proven and very successful Brazilian Unidade Real de Valor that allowed Brazil to have a stable and growing economy in non-monetary items which gave them time to sort out how to kill cash hyperinflation in their money.

This is not a theory. It is an historic fact. It was a proven and very successful practice implemented in the 180 million people Brazilian economy.

What is required in Zimbabwe are two elements: a stable non-monetary index unit and a daily rate between the ZimDollar and this stable Real Value Unit.

The Zim Real Value Unit already exists. It is the USDollar.

The USD is a monetary item and the Zim Real Value Unit has to be a non-monetary index. That is correct. It is also true that the USD is 2% away from being a 100% stable index unit. 2% is nothing in the current hyperinflationary chaos in Zimbabwe.

The USD is the Zim Real Value Unit. Every non-monetary item in Zim is given a USD price. That is done by dividing the current ZimDollar purchase price or valuation of any Zim non-monetary item by the current Real Value Unit rate. Or it is simply given a USD price.

Now a a single daily Zim Real Value Unit rate is needed.

That also exists. It is called the Old Mutual Implied Rate. There are many parallel rates in Zimbabwe every day. Everybody haggles to get his or her best rate for his or her deal. So there are many, many USD parallel rates. There is no single USD rate for the whole country because the ZimDollar is not yet floated by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.

The Old Mutual Implied Rate is calculated by dividing the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange price of the Old Mutual share by the London Stock Exchange Price for the same share. The answer is the Old Mutual Implied Rate for the Pound. Then a cross rate calculation is done for the USD rate.

That is the Old Mutual Implied Rate for the USD in Zimbabwe. A single rate is calculated by using the daily closing prices.That can be used as the single Real Value Unit Rate for the whole of Zimbabwe. There is no doubt about the daily closing rate when closing prices are used.

That is the equilibrium solution for Zimbabwe.

How will the OMIR be used for salaries. The worker and employer determine the salary in USD. Say USD 100 or USD 1000 or whatever the USD salary is. It will not change for a whole year in USD value.

Every time the salary is paid it is paid at that day´s OMIR. As prices go up the OMIR will go up and so will the salary. A worker will always receive the same salary in USD equivalent value.This way salaries and prices are linked.

This way all non-monetary items in the whole Zim economy are linked, just like with the Brazilian Unidade Real de Valor.

The Zim economy will return to being a stable economy in non-monetary items. Cash inflation will still depend on the strenght or weakness of the many underlying value systems in the Zim economy, namely the monetary system, economic system, banking system, government, justice system, education system, defence system, industrial policies and systems, etc, etc.

The Zim Real Value Unit will kill non-monetary inflation in all non-monetary items since they will all be valued at exactly the same Zim Real Value Unit rate.

The Zim economy will stabilise and the government and monetary authorities can work on the problems to kill cash hyperinflation in the ZimDollar.