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Sunday 14 January 2018

Daily CPI is the effective general price level index


The general price level changes at least daily in all national economies and monetary unions under all monetary environments - low inflation, high inflation, hyperinflation and deflation. 

The Daily CPI is thus the effective general price level index for a specific economy or monetary union. 


This is confirmed by all countries that issue sovereign inflation-indexed bonds. They have to necessarily calculate their specific Daily CPIs and they have to make them publicly available by publishing them. They all update these government inflation-adjusted bonds daily in terms of their specific country Daily CPIs - the absolute proof the Daily CPI is the effective general price level index for an economy or monetary union.


The Daily CPI is an approximation of the monthly published CPI in that it is a lagged daily interpolation of the CPI. 


The Daily CPI is always known in advance. There are never any surprises.


Some of the countries issuing sovereign inflation-indexed bonds:



  1. Argentina
  2. Australia
  3. Brazil
  4. Canada
  5. Chile
  6. Colombia
  7. Finland
  8. France
  9. Germany
  10. Greece
  11. Holland
  12. Hong Kong
  1. Iceland
  2. India
  3. Israel
  4. Italy
  5. Japan
  6. Kuwait
  7. Mexico
  8. New Zealand
  9. Portugal
  10. Qatar
  11. Saudi Arabia
  12. South Africa
  13. South Korea
  14. Spain
  15. Sweden
  16. Turkey
  17. United Arab Emirates
  18. United Kingdom
  19. United States

Nicolaas Smith Copyright (c) 2005-2018 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.

Zero monetary effect

Zero inflation, deflation and hyperinflation effect.

Implementing IFRS and US GAAP authorized Capital Maintenance in Units of Constant Purchasing Power in terms of the Daily CPI 

during

1. low inflation results in zero low inflation effect,

2. high inflation results in zero high inflation effect,

3. hyperinflation results in zero hyperinflation effect and

4. deflation results in zero deflation effect.

South American countries´ central banks called it "monetary correction" in the 1970s to 1990s. The best example was the implementation of this principle with the use of the Daily Unidade Real de Valor in Brazil in 1994. 

Zero monetary effect can only be achieved when CMUCPP is implemented to reflect every change in the general price level, that is, at least daily in terms of the Daily CPI in non-hyperinflationary economies.

CMUCPP also has to be implemented in terms of the Daily CPI or daily parallel rate when a Daily CPI is not available during hyperinflation. 

However, it must be remembered that the general price level can and sometimes does change more than once a day during hyperinflation. This must be accompanied in the whole hyperinflationary economy, in accounting records and in contracts in order to correctly achieve zero hyperinflationary effect. 

Under all the above circumstances, the constant purchasing power of all constant real value non-monetary items (e.g., all items in shareholders equity, trade debtors, trade creditors, salaries, wages, pensions, taxes payable, taxes receivable, etc.) would automatically be maintained constant - ceteris paribus.

Nicolaas Smith Copyright (c) 2005-2018 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.

Tuesday 8 November 2016

Equity Equal to Net Assets Capital Maintenance Fallacy

Capital has never and is never and will never be maintained constant in real value by entities which prepare their financial statements on the nominal Historical Cost basis when it is taken into account that net monetary losses and gains are never accounted under this model and that sustainable zero inflation has never been achieved and will most likely never be achieved. It is also true that zero effect of inflation, hyperinflation and deflation is easily possible with daily indexing of all items in terms of the Daily CPI as used under Capital Maintenance in Units of Constant Purchasing Power in terms of the Daily CPI.

All nominal Historical Cost audit reports should start with the following standard statement:


"We confirm that the constant purchasing power (real value) of the entity's capital was not maintained during the last financial period as in its entire existence to date under the nominal Historical Cost basis because 


(1) the stable measuring unit assumption was implemented resulting in constant real value non-monetary items (e.g., shareholders´ equity, taxes, debtors, creditors, profits, losses, salaries, wages, etc.)  not being maintained in real value and 


(2) no account was taken of changes in the inflation/deflation rate with net monetary gains and losses not accounted for in the preparation of the financial reports.


The financial statements balance in nominal value but not in real value."


Current shareholders, creditors, employees, the authorities, prospective investors and all stakeholders should be made fully aware of the fact that it is impossible for the entity to maintain the real value (constant purchasing power) of its capital under the nominal Historical Cost basis.


It is obvious that Historical Cost Accounting´s fundamental mistake - the stable measuring unit assumption - can be used in the Equity Equal to Net Assets Capital Maintenance Fallacy Proof.



‘It is essential to the credibility of financial reporting to recognize that the recovery of the real cost of investment is not earnings — that there can be no earnings unless and until the purchasing power of capital is maintained.


US FASB Financial Accounting Standard 33 (1979) Paragraph 24

[There is nothing like the above in IFRS. The Americans often seem to be just that little bit better. It is a good thing they have not adopted IFRS as is. :-) ]

The accounting profession generally argues that the fact that it is impossible to maintain the real value or constant purchasing power of capital under the nominal Historical Cost basis under non-zero inflationary conditions is not important since capital is always equal to net assets.

Yes, it is mathematically correct that nominal capital is always equal to net assets under the nominal Historical Cost basis - in nominal monetary units, that is all. However, that is not equal to capital maintenance (see FAS 33 above) as the profession - excluding the US contingent - so fraudulently implies.

Maintaining the constant purchasing power (real value) of capital always was, is and will always be impossible during non-zero inflationary conditions under the nominal Historical Cost basis.

Capital maintenance is impossible under the nominal Historical Cost basis. Period. State it openly in the financial statements and audit report.

The statement in the IFRS Conceptual Framework that "Financial capital maintenance can be measured in nominal monetary units" is thus completely dishonest, false, fake, misleading and fraudulent. That statement should at least state: "Only nominal financial capital maintenance can be measured in nominal monetary units" if IFRS were to be to be honest, true, real, not misleading and valid - in this respect.

Every past, present and future member of the IASB knows that generally no balance sheet prepared under the nominal Historical Cost basis has ever balanced, balances or ever will balance in real value during non-zero inflationary conditions.

Fortunately the IFRS Conceptual Framework also authorizes: "Financial capital maintenance can be measured in units of constant purchasing power".

However, it only works when it is done in terms of the Daily CPI. Using the monthly CPI does not result in real capital maintenance since it has to be done in terms of all changes in the general price level. The general price level does not change monthly as it appears as a result of the original (historical) monthly publication of the CPI figures. It changes daily in all economies. Economic transactions are executed every day of the month. The general price level can - and often does - change more than once a day in hyperinflationary economies.

The absolute proof that daily updating is required? All government inflation-indexed bonds are updated daily in terms of the Daily CPI because they trade daily on the trillion Dollar global sovereign inflation-indexed bond markets, for example US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities or TIPS. They need updated prices daily - not monthly. People and governments trade these inflation-indexed bonds daily, not monthly. The general price level changes at least daily. Daily CPI figures are thus generally available. See the examples on the right margin of this site.

Definition
Nicolaas Smith Copyright (c) 2005-2016 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.