Pages

Monday, 8 August 2011

Daily CPI - South Africa

Daily CPI - South Africa

The Daily Consumer Price Index is a lagged daily interpolation of the Consumer Price Index. Daily CPI Formula.

Unit of account: Rand

CPI 2008 = 100

CPI Aug 2011 118.30 Published on 21-09-11


18-Out-2011 118,570
17-Out-2011 118,563
16-Out-2011 118,556
15-Out-2011 118,550
14-Out-2011 118,543
13-Out-2011 118,536
12-Out-2011 118,530
11-Out-2011 118,523
10-Out-2011 118,516
9-Out-2011 118,510
8-Out-2011 118,503
7-Out-2011 118,496
6-Out-2011 118,490
5-Out-2011 118,483
4-Out-2011 118,476
3-Out-2011 118,470
2-Out-2011 118,463
1-Out-2011 118,456
30-Set-2011 118,449
29-Set-2011 118,443
28-Set-2011 118,436
27-Set-2011 118,429
26-Set-2011 118,423
25-Set-2011 118,416
24-Set-2011 118,409
23-Set-2011 118,403
22-Set-2011 118,396
21-Set-2011 118,389
20-Set-2011 118,383
19-Set-2011 118,350
18-Set-2011 118,318
17-Set-2011 118,285
16-Set-2011 118,253
15-Set-2011 118,220
14-Set-2011 118,188
13-Set-2011 118,156
12-Set-2011 118,123
11-Set-2011 118,091
10-Set-2011 118,058
9-Set-2011 118,026
8-Set-2011 117,994
7-Set-2011 117,961
6-Set-2011 117,929
5-Set-2011 117,897
4-Set-2011 117,864
3-Set-2011 117,832
2-Set-2011 117,800
1-Set-2011 117,767
31-Ago-2011 117,735
30-Ago-2011 117,703
29-Ago-2011 117,670
28-Ago-2011 117,638
27-Ago-2011 117,606
26-Ago-2011 117,574
25-Ago-2011 117,541
24-Ago-2011 117,509
23-Ago-2011 117,477
22-Ago-2011 117,456
21-Ago-2011 117,435
20-Ago-2011 117,415
19-Ago-2011 117,394
18-Ago-2011 117,373
17-Ago-2011 117,352
16-Ago-2011 117,332
15-Ago-2011 117,311
14-Ago-2011 117,290
13-Ago-2011 117,269
12-Ago-2011 117,249
11-Ago-2011 117,228
10-Ago-2011 117,207
9-Ago-2011 117,187
8-Ago-2011 117,166
7-Ago-2011 117,145
6-Ago-2011 117,124
5-Ago-2011 117,104
4-Ago-2011 117,083
3-Ago-2011 117,062
2-Ago-2011 117,042
1-Ago-2011 117,021
31-Jul-2011 117,000
30-Jul-2011 116,980
29-Jul-2011 116,959
28-Jul-2011 116,938
27-Jul-2011 116,918
26-Jul-2011 116,897
25-Jul-2011 116,876
24-Jul-2011 116,856
23-Jul-2011 116,835
22-Jul-2011 116,814
21-Jul-2011 116,794
20-Jul-2011 116,773
19-Jul-2011 116,752
18-Jul-2011 116,737
17-Jul-2011 116,721
16-Jul-2011 116,706
15-Jul-2011 116,691
14-Jul-2011 116,675
13-Jul-2011 116,660
12-Jul-2011 116,645
11-Jul-2011 116,629
10-Jul-2011 116,614
9-Jul-2011 116,598
8-Jul-2011 116,583
7-Jul-2011 116,568
6-Jul-2011 116,552
5-Jul-2011 116,537
4-Jul-2011 116,521
3-Jul-2011 116,506
2-Jul-2011 116,491
1-Jul-2011 116,475


Disclaimer: The numbers presented here are accurate to the best knowledge of the author, but no warranty is expressed or implied that they are accurate or appropriate for use in contracts.

Copyright (c) 2005-2011 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.

Daily CPI - Portugal

Daily CPI - Portugal

The Daily Consumer Price Index is a lagged daily interpolation of the Consumer Price Index. Daily CPI Formula.

Unit of account: Euro

CPI 2008 = 100

CPI August 2011 103.648  Published on 12.09.2011

12-Out-2011 103,618
11-Out-2011 103,633
10-Out-2011 103,648
9-Out-2011 103,664
8-Out-2011 103,679
7-Out-2011 103,694
6-Out-2011 103,709
5-Out-2011 103,724
4-Out-2011 103,739
3-Out-2011 103,755
2-Out-2011 103,770
1-Out-2011 103,785
30-Set-2011 103,800
29-Set-2011 103,815
28-Set-2011 103,831
27-Set-2011 103,846
26-Set-2011 103,861
25-Set-2011 103,876
24-Set-2011 103,891
23-Set-2011 103,907
22-Set-2011 103,922
21-Set-2011 103,937
20-Set-2011 103,952
19-Set-2011 103,967
18-Set-2011 103,983
17-Set-2011 103,998
16-Set-2011 104,013
15-Set-2011 104,028
14-Set-2011 104,043
13-Set-2011 104,059
12-Set-2011 104,074
11-Set-2011 104,089
10-Set-2011104,092
9-Set-2011104,094
8-Set-2011104,097
7-Set-2011104,099
6-Set-2011104,102
5-Set-2011104,104
4-Set-2011104,107
3-Set-2011104,109
2-Set-2011104,112
1-Set-2011104,114
31-Ago-2011104,117
30-Ago-2011104,119
29-Ago-2011104,122
28-Ago-2011104,124
27-Ago-2011104,127
26-Ago-2011104,129
25-Ago-2011104,132
24-Ago-2011104,134
23-Ago-2011104,137
22-Ago-2011104,139
21-Ago-2011104,142
20-Ago-2011104,144
19-Ago-2011104,147
18-Ago-2011104,150
17-Ago-2011104,152
16-Ago-2011104,155
15-Ago-2011104,157
14-Ago-2011104,160
13-Ago-2011104,162
12-Ago-2011104,165
11-Ago-2011104,167
10-Ago-2011104,170
9-Ago-2011104,172
8-Ago-2011104,180
7-Ago-2011104,188
6-Ago-2011104,196
5-Ago-2011104,203
4-Ago-2011104,211
3-Ago-2011104,219
2-Ago-2011104,227
1-Ago-2011104,235
31-Jul-2011104,242
30-Jul-2011104,250
29-Jul-2011104,258
28-Jul-2011104,266
27-Jul-2011104,274
26-Jul-2011104,281
25-Jul-2011104,289
24-Jul-2011104,297
23-Jul-2011104,305
22-Jul-2011104,313
21-Jul-2011104,320
20-Jul-2011104,328
19-Jul-2011104,336
18-Jul-2011104,344
17-Jul-2011104,352
16-Jul-2011104,359
15-Jul-2011104,367
14-Jul-2011104,375
13-Jul-2011104,383
12-Jul-2011104,391
11-Jul-2011104,399
10-Jul-2011104,406
9-Jul-2011104,408
8-Jul-2011104,410
7-Jul-2011104,412
6-Jul-2011104,413
5-Jul-2011104,415
4-Jul-2011104,417
3-Jul-2011104,419
2-Jul-2011104,420
1-Jul-2011104,422

Disclaimer: The numbers presented here are accurate to the best knowledge of the author, but no warranty is expressed or implied that they are accurate or appropriate for use in contracts.

Copyright (c) 2005-2011 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.

Friday, 5 August 2011

Fixed in real terms

Fixed in real terms

Updated on 9-8-11

General price level non-monetary indices, e.g. the CPI and Daily Index, are fixed in real terms but have changing nominal values like monetized daily indexed units of account. There is also another unit of account, the UF, which is fixed in real terms. Shiller, p2

What does fixed in real terms mean?

It means the UF´s and the DI´s nominal values are not fixed over time but change daily during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation because money, unstable in real value, is being used as the fixed nominal unit of account in the economy.

So, what then is fixed?

None of the abovementioned three is a permanently fixed index value. The CPI changes monthly. The UF and the DI change daily. The UF and DI are not fixed in nominal value, but, any price or value quoted or measured or accounted in terms of them remains fixed in real terms over time, meaning the price or accounted item´s nominal value changes daily during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation because money unstable in real value is being used the fixed nominal unit of account in the economy.

We say its real value is fixed meaning its nominal value changes daily – because we state all values in money - unstable in real value - which is used as a fixed nominal unit of account for accounting purposes; i.e. its real value changes daily during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation.

What is fixed in real terms is the initial real value of the typical basket of consumer goods on which the CPI is based. The UF and DI are based on their respective CPIs. Their real values are thus also fixed over time meaning their nominal values change daily during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation because unstable money (unstable pesos in the case of Chile) - fixed in nominal value but continuously changing in real value - is being used as the unstable medium of exchange, unstable store of value and unstable unit of account in the economy.

There is no cost of inflation at any level of inflation when there is complete coordination and everyone rejects the stable measuring unit assumption and inflation-adjusts all monetary items in terms of a Daily Index. This requires accounting the daily inflation-indexing of all monetary items in terms of a Daily Index with the total money supply in the banking system. Monetary items are inflation-adjusted daily because there is no stable measuring unit assumption under financial capital maintenance in unit of constant purchasing power during inflation and deflation; i.e. under CIPPA.

There will also be no cost of the stable measuring unit assumption which requires accounting constant items in units of constant purchasing power in terms of a Daily Index and accounting variable items in terms of IFRS with all historical variable items and historical constant items updated in terms of a Daily Index because there is no stable measuring unit assumption under financial capital maintenance in units of constant purchasing power during inflation and deflation (CIPPA).

Under CIPPA each of the three economic items consists of three elements at the date of an event/exchange/transaction/contract: (1) the nominal economic value of the item expressed in terms of unstable money (the legal unstable unit of account fixed in nominal value), (2) the date of the event/exchange/transaction/contract and (3) the nominal index value of the Daily Index on that date which is fixed in real terms. The nominal monetary value of, for example, a constant item changes daily in terms of the Daily Index, but, its real value is maintained constant over time during inflation and deflation under CIPPA. A constant item´s constant real value is not expressed as a constant value under CIPPA because there is no fixed constant real value unit of account available yet.

A single unit of constant real value

Theoretically a global perfectly stable unit of fixed constant real value would be equal to one monetary unit in a world economy in a global monetary union with a single currency under indefinite perfectly sustainable zero inflation.

It is argued that important practical problems in implementing indexation are solved by creating such indexed units of account. The author advocates creating such units in other countries, even countries with relatively low rates of inflation such as the
United States.
(Shiller, 1998, P1)


Nicolaas Smith Copyright (c) 2005-2011 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.

Wednesday, 3 August 2011

Daily Consumer Price Index compared to daily monetized indexed unit of account

Daily CPI compared to daily monetized indexed unit of account

Updated on 1-9-11

Unstable money is the unstable medium of exchange, unstable store of value and unstable unit of account in the economy. Pre-monetary economies had units of account without money being available in the economy.

Today the economic values of all economic items are stated in terms of unstable money. Prices are expressed in unstable monetary units. Unstable money is the generally accepted unstable monetary unit of account used to value and account all economic activity by entities applying the stable measuring unit assumption as part of the traditional Historical Cost Accounting model under which they implement financial capital maintenance in fixed nominal monetary units with unstable real values in the world economy during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation.

Unstable money is not fixed in constant real value. Unstable money is fixed in nominal value in economies subject to inflation, deflation and hyperinflation. Unstable money is a constant nominal unit of account with a continuously changing real value (purchasing power). Financial capital maintenance in nominal monetary units, although approved in IFRS and by the US FASB and implemented worldwide, is still a very popular accounting fallacy not yet extinct since it is impossible to maintain the real value of capital constant in nominal monetary units per se during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation.

Bank notes and bank coins cannot currently be indexed which makes it impossible for money held (currency) or the monetary unit of account to be a constant indexed unit of account or a perfectly stable unit of constant real value during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation.

However, notwithstanding or despite the above, monetary items in the form of bank deposits - not the actual bank notes and coins - have been inflation-indexed in, for example, Chile since 1967 by means of the Unidad de Fomento which is now a monetized daily indexed unit of account.   The Central Bank of Chile translates the “Unidad de Fomento” on their site to An Inflation-Indexed Accounting Unit and CPI-Indexed Unit of Account (UF). The UF´s value in Chilean escudos was originally updated every quarter which would be the official rate for the following quarter. It was updated monthly from October, 1975 with the currency changeover to pesos till 1977. Since July 1977 it was calculated daily by interpolation between the 10th of each month and the 9th of the following month, according to the monthly variation of the IPC. The Chilean Central bank has calculated and published its value daily since 1990. The UF is a lagged daily interpolation of the Chilean consumer price index (IPC).

The UF daily rate is available at the Central Bank of Chile

Most bank deposits in Chile are 30-day non-indexed deposits or 90-day indexed deposits whose rates are expressed in terms of the UFs. Interest rates on the indexed deposits are expressed as a premium over the UFs. On maturity, the deposits are converted back to pesos at the current UF rate. Shiller, 1998, p3

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-adjusted or indexed money loans to the US government. The principle or capital amount of the loan is indexed on repayment. On maturity, the loans are converted back to US Dollars at the current CPI rate. Interest is paid on TIPS. Inflation-indexed loans which are monetary item securities or investments are available in other countries too. Inflation-indexing monetary items is thus not a relatively new concept. Chile is the country which is closest to inflation-indexing its entire money supply although 30-day deposits are still not indexed. Money outside the banking system is not indexed.

The Consumer Price Index is an example of a non-monetary general price level index. The annual percentage change in the CPI indicates the annual rate of inflation. The CPI is published monthly.

A daily instead of a monthly general price level index is required to implement financial capital maintenance in units of constant purchasing power during inflation and deflation (CIPPA). Using the CPI published monthly may result in sudden increases or decreases in values on the date the new CPI is published. A lagged CPI smoothed by means of the formula used to calculate the UF solves this problem. The UF is a very successful monetized daily indexed unit of account used in Chile during the last 44 years and was copied by Ecuador, Mexico and Columbia. (See Shiller, 1998, p6.)

Constant Purchasing Power Accounting (CPPA) during hyperinflation requires either a parallel hard currency exchange rate – normally the US Dollar parallel rate - or a Brazilian style Unidade Real de Valor daily index primarily based on a parallel hard currency. The URV was an excellent daily non-monetary index during hyperinflation in Brazil because it was mainly based on the US Dollar parallel rate (a hard currency parallel rate essential during hyperinflation which is an exceptional circumstance), but, the CPI was also included in the formula.

The CPI is the weighted average index value of a typical basket of consumer goods purchased by a typical consumer statistically stated as a non-monetary initial index value of 100 at the start date. The CPI is thus fixed in real terms.

An example is the harmonized consumer price index of the Euro Zone stated as the non-monetary index value of 100 in 2005. This fixed internal unit of real value is then compared to the weighted average price of the typical basket of consumer goods and services a year later in order to determine the annual rate at which inflation is eroding the real value of only money and other monetary items in only the monetary economy or deflation is creating real value in only money and other monetary items in only the monetary economy. Inflation and deflation have no effect on the real value of non-monetary items. The same is true for hyperinflation.

The stable measuring unit assumption (not inflation and hyperinflation) erodes the real value of constant items never maintained constant (never measured in units of constant purchasing power in a double-entry accounting model where the real value of capital is equal to the real value of net assets) during inflation and hyperinflation under the HC paradigm. Similarly, it is not deflation, but, the stable measuring unit assumption that creates real value in constant items never maintained constant (qualified as per the previous sentence) during deflation under HCA.

The annual percentage change in the CPI indicates the annual rate at which only the real value of the national (or monetary union, e.g. the European Monetary Union) monetary unit and other monetary items is being eroded by the economic process of inflation / hyperinflation or being increased by the economic process of deflation.

The Daily Consumer Price Index (DCPI) is a lagged daily interpolation of the CPI based on the formula used to calculate the UF. In practice, the DCPI is used to inflation-adjust monetary items, to update historical variable items and to measure constant items in units of constant purchasing power when an entity implements financial capital maintenance in units of constant purchasing power during inflation and deflation (CIPPA) because there is no stable measuring unit assumption under this IFRS-authorized accounting model.

The DCPI is calculated and published daily. The monthly published CPI for the first day of any month is only available round-about the tenth of the next month: up to 41 days later. The UF is a monetized daily index of account.

“The UF is now a lagged daily interpolation of the monthly consumer price
index. The formula for computation of the UF on day t is:

UF t = UF t–1 × (1+ π) to the power 1/d

where π is the inflation rate for the calendar month preceding the calendar month in which t falls if t is between day ten and the last day of the month (and d is the number of days in the calendar month in which t falls), and π is the inflation rate for the second calendar month before the calendar month in which t falls if t is between day one and day nine of the month (and d is the number of days in the calendar month before the calendar month in which t falls).”


Robert J. Shiller, Indexed Units of Account: Theory and Assessment of Historical Experience, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No 1171, 1998, p3.

The above formula applies to the UF in Chile where the CPI for the current calendar month is available on the 10th of the next calendar month. The general case formula can be stated as follows:

On day t

                                  DI t = DI t-1 X (1 + π) to the power 1/d

where π is the annual inflation rate for the calendar month preceding the calendar month in which t falls if t is on or between the day the CPI for the previous calendar month is published and the last day of the month (and d is the number of days in the calendar month in which t falls), and π is the annual inflation rate for the second calendar month before the calendar month in which t falls if t is on or between day one and the day of publication of the CPI of the previous calendar month (and d is the number of days in the calendar month before the calendar month in which falls).

The inflation rate for a calendar month is calculated using the CPI for that month and for the preceding month. The DIs within a given calendar month thus depend on the CPI for each of the three preceding months. For example, the July DIs depend before the day the June CPI is published on the CPI for April and May, and starting with the day the June CPI is published on the CPI for May and June.

The DCPI is very similar to, but, not exactly the same as a monetized daily indexed unit of account, e.g. the UF in Chile. The UF is monetized; i.e. it is stated in terms of the Chilean peso. That is not the case with the DCPI. The DCPI is not automatically monetized.

“The UF was and is an amount of currency related to the Indice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC), the consumer price index for Chile.” (Shiller, 1998, p3)

A DCPI is, like the monthly CPI on which it is based, a non-monetary index value. Monetization depends on generally accepted monetary practices in an economy: see the UF in Chile. The DCPI can be used as a monetized unit of account with payments being made in the national monetary unit depending on users in an economy.

“An exchange rate between the unit (the UF) and the true money or legal tender, in Chile the peso, is defined using an index number (such as the consumer price index), and payments are executed in money. Thus, the indexed units of account facilitate payments that are tied to the index number, without being a means of payment.” (Shiller, 1998, p2)

A DCPI is not a unit of account just like the CPI is not a unit of account for accounting purposes. The US Dollar, Euro, Yen, Yuan, etc are the nominally fixed monetary units of account, unstable in real value, used in their respective countries as the national unit of account for accounting purposes during inflation, deflation and hyperinflation. The US, EU, Japanese and Chinese CPI´s are not units of account for accounting purposes. They are non-monetary general price level indices. Prices are not quoted in CPIs or in DCPIs – although they can be.

The DCPIs for Portugal and South Africa are available on this blog.

Inflation-adjusting or indexing the entire money supply with all the money in the banking system eliminates the cost of inflation (not inflation in the monetary unit) completely, only in the money supply; i.e. the monetary economy.

Financial capital maintenance in units of constant purchasing power during inflation and deflation under which all constant items are always and everywhere valued and accounted in units of constant purchasing power by means of a DCPI because there is no stable measuring unit assumption under this accounting model eliminates the entire cost of the stable measuring unit assumption (which is not the cost of inflation) from only the constant item economy. This amounts to hundreds of billions of US Dollars per annum of the real value of constant items never maintained constant in the world´s constant item economy which are currently being eroded unnecessarily by the implementation of the stable measuring unit assumption (not inflation) as it forms part of the traditional HCA model that would be maintained constant under CIPPA.

When all variable items are also measured in terms of specific IFRS with all historical variable items updated in terms of a DCPI because there is no stable measuring unit assumption under financial capital maintenance in units of constant purchasing power during inflation and deflation as authorized in IFRS, then CIPPA automatically maintains the constant purchasing power of capital constant forever in all entities that at least break even during inflation and deflation – ceteris paribus.

Nicolaas Smith Copyright (c) 2005-2011 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.

Tuesday, 2 August 2011

Daily CPI Formula

Daily CPI Formula

Updated on 6-9-11

A Daily Consumer Price Index (DCPI) is a lagged daily interpolation of the CPI based on the formula used to calculate the Chile´s Unidad de Fomento. In practice, a DCPI is used to inflation–adjust monetary items, to update historical variable items and to measure constant items in units of constant purchasing power under Constant Item Purchasing Power Accounting. The UF is the most successful monetized daily indexed unit of account.

A Daily Consumer Price Index is calculated and published daily. The monthly published CPI for the first day of any month is only available round–about the tenth of the next month: up to 41 days later.



                              UF t = UF t–1 × (1+ π) to the power 1/d



The DCPI is a lagged daily interpolation of the consumer price index. The formula for calculating the DCPI is based on Chile´s Unidad de Fomento published daily by the Central Bank of Chile.

The above formula applies to the UF in Chile where the CPI for the current calendar month used to be available on the 10th of the next calendar month. The general case formula can be stated as follows:

On day t
                                  DI t = DI t-1  x  (1 + π) to the power 1/d

where π is the inflation rate for the calendar month preceding the calendar month in which t falls if t is on or between the day the CPI for the previous calendar month is published and the last day of the month (and d is the number of days in the calendar month in which t falls), and π is the inflation rate for the second calendar month before the calendar month in which t falls if t is on or between day one and the day of publication of the CPI of the previous calendar month (and d is the number of days in the calendar month before the calendar month in which t falls).

Since the inflation rate for a calendar month is computed using the CPI for that month and for the preceding month, the DIs within a given calendar month will depend on the CPI for each of the three preceding months (e.g., the July DIs will depend before the day the June CPI is published on the CPI for April and May, and starting with the day the June CPI is publised on the CPI for May and June).

Copyright (c) 2005-2011 Nicolaas J Smith. All rights reserved. No reproduction without permission.